Bookmarks (302)

There was a report from Bloomberg that China was considering selling Tik Tok USA to Elon Musk X. This was later denied by Tik Tok. Kevin O’leary is part of group that has put up $20 billion to buy TikTok USA without the algorithm. There are about 110-130 million US users of Tik Tok USA. ... Read more

The exceptional drone or UFO sightings over New Jersey have had a high volume and there are officials who confirm various sightings. Law Enforcement and Local Officials: Various law enforcement agencies, including the Morris County Sheriff’s Office, have reported sightings. Sheriff James Gannon noted that there was no immediate danger to the public but confirmed ... Read more

Xpeng has a hybrid six wheel van. It has a gasoline and electric engine. It has automated deployment of a two passenger eVTOL. A vertical takeoff and landing two person vehicle. The van can hold five people and is about the size of a Cybertruck. The vehicles cost about $280,000. • Starting price: $280,000 • ... Read more

Blue Origin New Glenn rocket had a scrubbed first launch. Blue Origin will not try again for at least two days and weather will likely cause further days of delays. The rocket seems ready. The problem was icing on a vent. When New Glenn starts flying it will operate much like a larger SpaceX Falcon ... Read more

Copenhagen Atomics is a Danish molten salt technology company developing mass manufacturable molten-salt reactors. The reactor type invented by Copenhagen Atomics is a thorium molten salt breeder reactor, which fits inside a custom built 40 foot shipping container and can be mass manufactured on assembly lines with an expected output of minimum 1 reactor per ... Read more

Blue Origin New Glenn launch flight was scrubbed. [Blue Origin[ We’re standing down on today’s launch attempt to troubleshoot a vehicle subsystem issue that will take us beyond our launch window. We’re reviewing opportunities for our next launch attempt. It will carry the prototype DarkSky-1 Blue Ring Pathfinder, consisting of communications array, power systems, and ... Read more

Los Angeles could have to rebuild over 30% of the city. California has fires, earthquakes, high winds and other risks. Replacing hundreds of billions in residential and commercial buildings and roads is an opportunity to enable a shift to Ultra-high performance concrete and making key structures like hospitals, fire departments into UHPC concrete domes. The ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, talked with Randy Kirk about his idea for using tens of thousands of drones or other technology to fight large city and forest fires. Here is a solution that wasn't possible even a few years ago. 10,000 Drones specially built for dumping water or chemicals could provide overwhelming fire suppression fast and ... Read more

In Mid-2024, the Nuclear Regulatory Commission issued a construction permit yesterday to Abilene Christian University, giving ACU and its partners the go-ahead to build the Molten Salt Research Reactor (MSRR) facility on its Abilene, Texas, campus. The 1-MWt research reactor is the first molten salt–fueled reactor to get a construction permit from the NRC. After ... Read more

China’s outlined a buildout of nuclear power in the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021–2025), released in March 2021. China plans 150 new nuclear reactors over the ensuing 15 years to reach a production goal of 200 GW of nuclear energy by 2035. Analysts estimated that adding an additional 147 GW (to the 53 GW of nuclear ... Read more

Deep Fission, a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) developer, has partnered with Endeavour Energy, a US sustainable infrastructure developer, to develop and deploy nuclear fission to power AI data centers. They have committed to co-developing 2GW of nuclear energy to supply Endeavour’s global portfolio of data centers which operate under the Endeavour Edged brand. The ... Read more

Greenland’s Prime Minister Mute Egede says “We are ready to talk.” Greenland PM will meet Trump. “Greenland looks forward to discussing the possibilities for business cooperation, the development of Greenland’s mineral sector, including critical minerals and other relevant areas with the US.“ Speaking next to Danish PM Mette Frederiksen at a joint press conference, Egede ... Read more

Tesla shares have been between $373 and $489 in the past 25 days. Tesla is at $394 per share. In October, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $1000 by the end of 2025 and would reach $2500 by the end of 2027. In November, Brian predicted that Tesla will reach $450 by Feb 8, 2025. ... Read more

There have been drones made and used to fight fires. They are used in New York and in China. There are new heavier lift drones that could be used to transport large quantities of water. What was it like responding to yesterday’s crane fire and collapse? Take look at the footage from #FDNY Robotics Unit ... Read more

Los Angeles has major fires that have burned over 38,000 acres out of a total of about 300,000 acres of land in Los Angeles. The city of Los Angeles covers a total area of 502.7 square miles (1,302 km2), comprising 468.7 square miles (1,214 km2) of land and 34.0 square miles (88 km2) of water. ... Read more

Neutron Rocket will give Rocket Lab a SpaceX Falcon 9 class vehicle. It will move them up from $8.5 million Electron rocket launches to $55 million per launch. Neutron is scheduled for its debut launch from Rocket Lab Launch Complex 3 in Virginia from mid-2025. They want to get to a realistic launch cadence of ... Read more

Expecting a second good booster catch, dummy satellite deployment and Raptor engine relight in orbit and a simulated tower catch for Starship. Flight is now targeting Jan 13 2025, 4pm CST. +00:06:55 Super Heavy landing burn shutdown and catch Planned +00:08:53 Starship engine cutoff (SECO) Planned +00:17:33 Starlink simulators satellites deploy demo Planned +00:37:33 Raptor ... Read more

Based upon 2024 pricing, Tesla could start a robotaxi service that offered $5 base fare and $1.00 for booking and $0.7-1.5 per mile ($1.10 average). If this generated 10,000 trips with an average of 6 miles per trip, then this would be : 60,000 miles for $60,000 base fares and bookings and $66,000 for the ... Read more

Elon Musk made huge announcements that Teslabot will start ramping mass production this year and reach 500,000 to 1 million in 2027. The targets are 5,000 bots in 2025 with Q4 2025 being the start of a factory and 50,000 to 100,000 in 2026 and 500,000 to 1 million in 2027. This would be huge ... Read more

Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla Full Self Driving Unsupervised (no human driver) is already being used by Tesla employees. Tesla is still on track for robotaxi and unsupervised FSD commercial release in California and Austin later in 2025. $tsla elon just confirmed that they’re running unsupervised FSD trials with employees right now, and will launch ... Read more

The Arctic an incredibly rich area. It is about the same geographic size as the African continent – about 6% of Earth’s surface area – yet it holds an estimated 22 percent of Earth’s oil and natural gas resource. Most of this the Arctic is poorly explored for oil and natural gas. The United States ... Read more

A 2021 survey of Greenland had 69.1 percent of those asked think that Greenland should cooperate more closely with the U.S. Greenland is not a member of the EU. When asking Greenlanders about if Greenland should cooperate with the EU, 65% answer that Greenland should cooperate more with the Union and only 22.8% answer that ... Read more

An analysis of one of the most important metrics, auto gross margins, for Tesla share price. Having auto gross margins over 20% is important for Tesla. The key to increasing above Q3 2024 19.6% is continued cost of goods reductions from fewer parts and lower battery costs. There is also a discussion of possible deals ... Read more

Sam Altman talks about AGI products in 2025 and setting OpenAI sights on ASI (Superintelligence). [OpenAI and Sam Altman] are now confident they know how to build AGI as they have traditionally understood it. They believe that, in 2025, the world may see the first AI agents “join the workforce” and materially change the output ... Read more

Greenland joining the USA could make Greenlanders the richest in the world on a per capita basis by quadrupling per capita income and the overall GDP. Based on Greenland’s Self-Government Act of 2009, Greenland has the right to self-determination, including the option of independence. This seems to mean that if Greenland holds a referendum and ... Read more

Blue Origin plans to finally fly the New Glenn rocket and to get a lot of launches. The first launch is in days. For 2025, they expect to have between 8 and 10 launches, with the capacity for up to 12 launches. In 2026, Blue Origin aims to increase this number to 24 launches. Blue ... Read more

The billionaire investors and entrepreneurs at the All in Podcast described 2025 as the year of AI and robots. I, Brian Wang, and Randy Kirk reviewed why and how AI and robots will be transforming the world. Summarizing the key points and claims and providing context. Dave Frieberg says 2025 is the year when people ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, made a bunch of correct calls on the stock price movement of Tesla over the past few months. Tesla pulled back after hitting a high of $488. This was after more than doubling from $213 at the end of October, 2024. Tesla disappointed with 495000 cars delivered in Q4 2024, when there ... Read more

Youtube channel What About It?, Felix Schlang, dives deep into the technology of the SpaceX Raptor 3 engine. SpaceX has made new alloys for withstanding the heat and have build channels and other structures into the engine. This vastly superior engine outperforms the RS-25 engine that was used on the Space Shuttle and is still ... Read more

Jan 10, 2025, SpaceX Starship will have the seventh laucnh and deploy 10 Starlink simulators. They will be similar in size and weight to next-generation (V3) Starlink satellites as the first exercise of a satellite deploy mission. The Starlink simulators will be on the same suborbital trajectory as Starship, with splashdown targeted in the Indian ... Read more

There is an anonymous commenter who wanted to be a troll about my prediction track record and where I was wrong about technology. I discuss my public predictions and go more deeply into nuclear fusion and other specific topics. My writing that years ago that emdrive and Mach Effect propulsion researchers made and that nuclear ... Read more

There will be many new rockets getting first launches in 2025. There will be the Blue Origin New Glenn and the Rocket Lab Neutron. There will be many as many as 16 new rockets from China, the USA and other countries. There should be huge advances with the SpaceX Starship. There will be a first ... Read more

Brian Wang has had over 90% accuracy with public predictions on public websites like Metaculus and Manifold. OpenAI O3 model has shown that greater than human PHD reasoning is possible but with about 30,000 GPUs taking 30 minutes to infer the answer. I forecast an increase to 1 million GPU AI training from 100,000 at ... Read more

There are 370 SpaceX DTC (Direct to Cellphone) Starlink satellites in orbit now. There could be over 1000 SpaceX DTC satellites by the end of 2025. The @SpaceX team achieved an unprecedented launch cadence, conducting 134 Falcon launches with 89 dedicated to expanding the Starlink constellation. Companies working with SpaceX on Direct to Cellphone service. ... Read more

SpaceX Starship will launch V3 Starlink satellites, which will add 60 Tbps of capacity to the network per launch. This will be more than 20x the bandwidth of each Falcon 9 launch today. And with a glimpse of the future, views from Starship entering Earth’s atmosphere were made possible by Starlink. Soon, Starship will launch ... Read more

NASA’s Parker Solar Probe hurtled through the solar atmosphere at a blazing 430,000 miles per hour — faster than any human-made object has ever moved. The NASA Solar Probe flew 3.8 million miles above the surface of the Sun. This is about 25 times closer to the Sun than the earth.

The long-delayed Flamanville 3 EPR reactor in Normandy in northern France has begun delivering electricity to the grid. The 1630 MWe (net) pressurised water reactor was connected to the grid for the first time at 11:48 (local time) on Saturday. Construction work began in December 2007 on the third unit at the Flamanville site – ... Read more

OpenAI o3 achieved an 88.5% score on the ARC-AGI benchmark using high computing equipment which is beyond most humans at 77% scores. OpenAI used up to $10,000 worth of compute for each AGI answer. At a rate of around $1.45 to $1.49 per hour, $10,000 would cover approximately 6,711 to 6,897 GPU hours in Nvidia ... Read more

China DeepSeek AI matches the performance of AI while using only 9% of the AI training compute. The continued improvement in AI while using resources more efficiently shows we will reach AGI at affordable costs for training and inference. AI will reach higher levels of intelligence and energy and computation will get more efficient. DeepSeek ... Read more

I, Brian Wang, shared my 2025 Tesla share price predictions and analysis with Herbert Ong. My bear case is $700 at the end of the year. The base case is $1000 and the bull case is $1500. The bear case is where there is just 500,000 more cars to 2.3 million and megapack energy ramps ... Read more

The scaling of the data centers and progress with AI will continue to surprise people and change the world. Tesla and xAI are at the center of the AI changes. IF the training compute scaling and the inference compute scaling continue to show massive benefits, then this will ensure AI models will have improved capabilities ... Read more

The most important things that happened in 2024 was the progress in AI, robotics and space capability. We are on the verge of AGI (Artificial general intelligence), robotaxi and fully reusable rockets. The most shocking images of the imminent future was the mechazilla catch of the SpaceX booster. As of 23 December 2024 the Starlink ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Space (NNS) will focus on optimizing “ZEUS”, a solid core battery reactor, and “ODIN”, a low-pressure coolant reactor, for applications such as power systems for extraterrestrial projects and human sustaining environments, and potentially propulsion technology for long haul space missions. NNS’ initial focus will be on cis-lunar applications, referring to uses in the ... Read more

NANO Nuclear Energy Inc. (NASDAQ: NNE) developing small nuclear fission reactors that can be moved with trucks announced that it has executed a definitive agreement to acquire select nuclear energy technology assets from Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation and certain of its subsidiaries (collectively, “USNC”). The acquired assets include USNC’s patented Micro Modular Reactor (MMR) system, ... Read more

xAI finished raising $6 billion in new funding and has begun receiving Nvidia GB200 chips. The chips are arriving about a month earlier than expected in a prior chart. I have adjusted by a month for xAI releases. I have also added the Google Gemini models. Google appears able to not have as much issue ... Read more

SpaceX continues to improve the design of the Starship heat shield and has added small tanks to help with the engine restart. The new designs were covered by Felix Schlang at What About It?